Monday, March 12, 2007

US green light to Bosnian Serbs to seize Srebrenica: The smoking gun?

US green light to Bosnian Serbs to seize Srebrenica: the smoking gun?

By Michael Karadjis

For years, the role of the United States in conniving with Serbian leader Slobodan Milosevic in the destruction of the Bosnian Muslim town of Srebrenica has been shrouded in mystery.
When heavily armed Bosnian Serb nationalists seized the town from Dutch United Nations “peace-keepers” in July 1995, along with expelling tens of thousands of Muslims, they led away 8000 men and boys and slaughtered them in captivity, the largest single massacre in Europe since World War II.
Now the ‘smoking gun’ is being uncovered. Then assistant secretary of state in the Clinton administration, Richard Holbrooke, recently revealed in an interview with the French magazine Paris-Match that his initial instructions from national security adviser Anthony Lake were to sacrifice the three remaining Muslim ‘enclaves’ in East Bosnia – Srebrenica, Zepa and Gorazde – to the Serb nationalists, led by indicted war criminals General Ratko Mladic and Radovan Karadzic.
Holbrooke claims he rejected the instructions, but in the past he has emphasised his rejection only of pressure to abandon Gorazde, leaving the question of the other two unclear – till now.
The same issue of Paris-Match also had an interview with the chief prosecutor of the Hague Yugoslav war crimes tribunal, Carla del Ponte, who claims that western officials held a meeting with Milosevic, Karadzic and Mladic in 1995, to discuss the plans to seize Srebrenica. She said there were minutes of the meeting and that she knew the names of the officials, but was unable to use this as evidence because they refused to confirm their attendance.
The appalling performance by the United Nations and NATO powers – which had thousands of troops all over Bosnia – in refusing to lift a finger to protect the Muslim population of Srebrenica, a UN-designated “safe area,” has long been heavily criticised.
After watching the conquest Srebrenica, the UN and NATO then did the same as Mladic’s henchman overran Zepa, another “safe area,” expelling thousands more people. While the Serb nationalists advanced on Zepa, the UN issued a warning that it would be very upset if they then turned on Gorazde, the last of the three pockets where dispossessed Muslims were still holding out. Muslims had been the majority of the population throughout all of East Bosnia before the massive wave of ethnic cleansing had driven most of them from this region in 1992.
In Gorazde, the Muslims turned on the UN, seized their arms, put up a good fight and kept out the Serb nationalists – who called themselves ‘Chetniks’ after the anti-Communist Serb fighters of World War II who fought against Tito’s Communist ‘Partisans’.
The betrayal of Srebrenica and Zepa was all the worse considering that the UN had forced the local Bosnian militia to hand over its weapons in 1993 in return for “safe area” designation. Meanwhile, throughout the war, the UN and NATO imposed an arms embargo on the whole beleaguered Bosnian Republic.
A number of aspects have long suggested that what was involved was not merely betrayal due to cluelessness, lethargy or not caring, but rather active collusion of top imperialist powers with the Serbian Chetniks and their boss, Milosevic.
The sacking and massacre of Srebrenica was followed soon after by the US-imposed Dayton Accord, which ended the war by accepting the Serb nationalist program of ethnic partition. Bosnia was divided into two halves, a “Serb Republic”, based on recognition of the results of ethnic cleansing, and a “Muslim-Croat federation.” Bosnia’s battle to retain a multi-ethnic character had been defeated.
Significantly, Srebrenica and Zepa, though only just seized and “cleansed” were quietly handed to the Serb Republic, as if nothing had just happened.
The US had been pushing this 50-50 partition of Bosnia since mid-1994, but the Bosnian Serb leadership had put up some objections. While the map already included the whole of cleansed East Bosnia in their “state,” it did not yet include the three remaining Muslim “enclaves.” The Serb nationalists wanted them, and also wanted a widening of the northern “corridor,” which cut through previously Muslim and Croat majority regions to join east Bosnia to the other half of their “state” in the north-west. Both demands were accepted by the US at Dayton.
Meanwhile, Croatia urged its Bosnian Croat satellites to sign on, which meant giving up the ethnic “state” they had also carved out of Bosnia in alliance with the Serb nationalists. They would now have to join it with Bosnian government held regions to form a “Muslim-Croat federation.” The US feared that if both Serbs and Croats had their own “states,” what would remain would be a tiny, landlocked, embittered Muslim state where a million or so ethnically cleansed Muslims would form a “Gaza in Europe” with all its attendant instability. Croatia would be entrusted by the US and Europe to police the Muslims.
In exchange for dropping the Bosnian Croat “state,” Croatian leader Franco Tudjman wanted the end of the “Serb Republic of Krajina,” about a third of Croatian territory which had been conquered and cleansed of hundreds of thousands of Croats in 1991.
What both the Serb-held Krajina and the Muslim enclaves in East Bosnia had in common was that they were odd bits of ethnic territory sticking out in the wrong places: East Bosnia, despite its Muslim majority, was near Serbia’s border, while Krajina, despite its Serb majority, was the furthest part of Croatia from Serbia.
To enhance the stability of the Milosevic-Tudjman deal to divide the region between them, the US tended to agree that the map needed some “tidying up” to reduce its ethnic “messiness.” The fact that the US gave the green light to Tudjman to seize the Krajina in August 1995, driving out its entire 150,000 strong Serb population, is well-documented.
Milosevic also gave Tudjman the green light, having little need for an economically useless piece of rugged land far from the consolidated chunk of “smaller Greater Serbia” he was being offered.
But till now little light has been shone on this US green light to Milosevic, and to the Bosnian Serb Chetniks, to seize Srebrenica and Zepa.
The revelations cast light on Holbrooke’s statement after Dayton that Milosevic was someone the US “could do business with.”
It also fits with other recent statements by Holbrooke, which reveal that behind the US intervention, formally against Karadzic’s forces, was the fear that the excesses of the Chetniks – who had conquered 70 percent of Bosnia despite Serbs being only 30 percent of the population – were leading to a radicalisation among the dispossessed Bosnian Muslims.
In a Washington Post article entitled ‘Was Bosnia worth it?’ Holbrooke asserted that if the US had not intervened in 1995, “we would probably have had to pursue Operation Enduring Freedom not only in Afghanistan but also in the deep ravines and dangerous hills of central Bosnia, where a shadowy organization we now know as Al Qaeda was putting down roots that were removed by NATO after Dayton.”
The idea that Al Qaida had more than a marginal role in the desperation of Bosnia is fanciful, and a slander against the Bosnian Muslims. However, the fact that Holbrooke feels compelled to describe in this way the growing radicalisation among the Muslims, who had been left to the slaughter in the middle of Europe for years in the 1990s, indicates the degree of worry this was causing Washington.
Muhamed Sacirbey, Bosnia’s foreign minister at the time, commented that “for many years, I believed that the West gave an orange light to the Serbs to take over Srebrenica, but I am now convinced that it was a green light.”

Kosova: Unofficial Independence, Unofficial Partition and Official Colonial Rule

Kosova: Unofficial Independence, Unofficial Partition and Official Colonial Rule

By Michael Karadjis

The eight years that the Kosova people have waited for the same right to independence allowed to other peoples of the former Yugoslavia some 15 years ago have finally reached … anti-climax.
Attempting to please everyone – the 90 percent Albanian majority, the anxious Serb minority, the former occupation power, Serbia, and the current western occupiers – the UN envoy, former Finnish president, Martti Ahtisaari, created a new entity in international affairs.
On February 26, following months of negotiations between Serb and Albanian parties, Ahtisaari outlined the concept of a country that could join international organizations, have its own governing institutions and symbols of state, but was not independent.
Leading up to this proposal, the most common names given to this concept were “conditional independence” or “independence without sovereignty.” Yet in the final proposal, the word “independence,” even with a qualifier, was gone.
The “high representative” appointed by the UN since 1999 to have final say over decisions made by Kosovar bodies will go – and be replaced by one appointed by the European Union. A new internationally-appointed police force will hold sway over the local police, and the NATO troops that have occupied Kosova since 1999 will remain.
The Kosova Protection Corps – the unarmed civil emergency and reconstruction corps which gathered many former members of the Kosova Liberation Army (KLA), which fought for the country’s independence in 1997-99 - will be abolished, and Kosova will be barred from joining any other state (meaning Albania).
Meanwhile, a ‘decentralisation’ plan will give increased powers for ‘municipalities’, many of them ethnic-based. Some ten new Serb-majority municipalities will be formed. These will have self-government, control over their education, health and police systems and the majority of income made in these areas, and will be able to be directly linked to and financed by the Serbian government.
The former municipality of Mitrovica in the north will be divided into two. Serb northern Mitrovica connects the entire region to its north to the Serbian border as the largest Serb bloc, covering some 15 percent of Kosova. Mitrovica already has its own Serbian university, hospital, school system, currency, police, and paramilitary “bridge-watchers,” who prevent Albanians from southern Mitrovica from crossing the bridge over the Ibar river.
This northern region contains the massive Trepca mining and metallurgy complex, allegedly worth some 5 billion dollars.
In addition, the many grand Serbian Orthodox monasteries, some dating back to medieval times, will be enclosed by protective zones, barred to members of the Albanian majority.
The central government will continue to include fixed numbers of delegates of the Serb and other minorities, and similar quotas apply to the police force. Serbs currently are allotted 20 of the 120 seats in the Kosova parliament, though only a few accept them. Some 15 percent of the Kosova Police Service consists of minority recruits. Both Albanian and Serb will be official languages, and the new national symbols, including a flag, seal and anthem, must “reflect its multi-ethnic character.”
Ahtisaari now says the question of status must be decided upon by the UN Security Council. The current plan is the blueprint on which such a vote will be based. It is likely the UNSC may vote to accept an “independent” Kosova, with all the above trappings. If not, there remains the possibility of Kosova declaring independence unilaterally.
Kosova in Yugoslavia: A republic but not a republic
While Serbia believes Kosova is still part of its territory, and any form of independence is a violation of its sovereignty, most western governments now recognize the reality that if Kosova were ever returned to Serbian rule, the unanimous and absolute hostility of the Albanian majority would re-ignite armed resistance.
However, to understand why such complex arrangements are seen as necessary by the “international community,” we have had to wade through much confusion in the media. Most commentary accepts that Kosova is Serbian territory, and that while independence may be the only realistic option, it opens a pandora’s box of claims by ethnic minorities for independent states.
As socialists, we have no problem of Kosova independence fuelling independence movements of other oppressed peoples, such as the Basques, Irish, Chechens or Kurds, or less recognized groups. However, this constant repetition obscures the fact that Kosova was never simply “a province” or “an autonomous region” of Serbia in the former Yugoslavia. While Kosova was not a full Yugoslav “republic” (like Serbia, Croatia etc), its status of “high level autonomous province” of Serbia was complemented by also being a direct member of the Yugoslav federation, with its own representative on the 8-member Yugoslav presidency, equal to the republics, its own central bank and territorial defense force and similar attributes of republics.
The Albanians were never satisfied with even this situation, as being a republic in all but name still indicated inequality. Being by far the poorest region of Yugoslavia, and the least represented in the bureaucracy and military officialdom, made this worse.
In fact, Albanians never had any choice in being subjected to Serbian rule – either originally, when capitalist Serbia conquered the region in 1913, or in 1945, when Communist leader Broz Tito had promised them a republic but later backtracked. Tito did this to prevent opposition from Serbian nationalists – who nevertheless hated Tito for granting such a high level of autonomy for Kosova.
This delicate compromise stood on tenterhooks. As “market socialism” evolved after Tito’s death into capitalist restoration, Serbian leader Slobodan Milosevic in 1989 revoked Kosovar autonomy and suppressed its parliament, as he rode the wave of rising Serbian nationalism, the ideological expression of the new Serbian bourgeoisie.
Along with the sacking of the entire Albanian public-employed workforce, the brutal suppression of the Albanian miners’ strike with 24 deaths, and the enforcing of a Serbian educational curriculum, the Yugoslav constitution was abolished and the compromise collapsed. In this constitutional limbo, in 1990 the Kosova underground parliament carried out an independence referendum, carried by 99 percent of the population.
The ignoring of Kosova’s pleas for independence by western powers as Yugoslavia unraveled in 1991-92 set the stage for bloody confrontation. Following a decade of “Ghandian” resistance against this imposed apartheid, the collapse of the Albanian state in 1997 allowed a flow of looted arms into Kosova. The KLA began an armed struggle, which by early 1999 threatened to seize independence in a revolutionary manner.
Fearful of the consequences and aiming to impose its own diktat on the region, the US led NATO into a brutal air war against Serbia in 1999. Milosevic reacted by attempting to expel the entire population. Some 850,000 Albanians were forced across borders into refugee camps in Albania and Macedonia, posing an even worse descent into regional instability, in this case embarrassingly brought about by NATO action.
With Serbia’s surrender, Albanian refugees returned to their wrecked country, where 100,000 homes had been destroyed. As thousands of Serbian police and officials fled, thousands more Serb civilians fled with them, fearful of revenge once majority rule was established. Many more later fled the often brutal Albanian reprisal attacks. The half the Serb population which remained gathered into a number of major clusters.
After 1999: Both part of and not part of ‘Yugoslavia’
The UN imposed a “high representative” to run the province, which was occupied by tens of thousands of NATO troops. The UN resolution ending the war declared Kosova to be still part of the long-dead state ‘Yugoslavia’, ie, Serbia. Kosova’s status was left in limbo for 8 years, making it impossible to get development credits, or much investment, to restart the economy, leading to 60-70 percent unemployment.
The main justification for the foreign presence was to “protect the Serb minority.” Given the enormity of what happened outside their control in 1999, Serb civilians certainly did deserve protection. The problem was that this task was combined with that of denying the majority population its right to independence, creating growing Albanian hostility to the bloated foreign presence. Thus it was precisely the denial of independence, or any road towards it, that intensified Albanian ethnic radicalization. The fact that the leaders of the Serb minority acted as Belgrade’s tool in opposing the majority’s right to independence reinforced the anti-Serb bias of this radicalization. Meanwhile, spread thin to prevent the natives running their own country, the international forces were not very effective in protecting the minority when attacks did occur.
In 2003, the UN announced “standards before status,” whereby the Kosovars would be judged in carrying out eight major standards, mostly related to the Serb minority, before status would even be considered; even then there was no suggestion that status meant independence. This new colonialism backfired in March 2004, when unemployed Albanian gangs launched brutal attacks on Serbs, leaving 11 Albanians and 8 Serbs dead, while also attacking the occupation forces, destroying 72 UN vehicles.
However, there have been very few ethnic attacks in the years since then. This is partly due to a shift from “standards before status” to “standards with status” as the UN began to understand the problem. That is why the clarity of independence, the recognition of equality with other nations, is so important. The great powers have no more right to be judging the country’s every move than to be running other countries in the region, all of which have human rights issues.
Nevertheless, given that the Albanian leadership was unable until recent years to stem revenge violence, the desire of the minorities for large scale autonomy, including links to Belgrade, is understandable. Belgrade will likely use it to create a state within a state, but if so, the Albanian leadership has partly itself to blame, though most blame falls on the international occupation. However, the majority will not look very favourably on wide autonomous arrangements if their own right – to complete independence – is frustrated.
‘Not quite independence’ to evolve into … not quite independence
The international presence to enforce “standards” will coalesce with the long-term process of negotiations for EU membership. As all the former Yugoslav states are involved in this process, the idea is that “conditional independence” will never become full independence, but will eventually evolve into equal EU membership. As Serbia will be ahead of Kosova in the EU, it will hold a veto over membership, but Kosovar EU membership will reunite the two.
While much of this is aimed at consoling the Serbian bourgeoisie, following such a blow to the nationalism that it built its post-communist order on, western control also allows control of the privatization process. In 1997, Milosevic put the whole of Kosova up for sale. However, the underground Kosova assembly declared that any foreign companies buying in would be treated as “neo-colonialists.” Given the lack of independence and the desperate need for money and to get the economy rolling, Kosovar leaders in the last few years have had to accept bargain prices for the sale of the country’s assets.
Ironically, despite the humiliation of Serbian nationalism, the denial of Kosovar independence has been a boon for Serbian capital. With no economy of their own, every week, Albanians fill their shopping baskets with every conceivable kind of goods from Serbia. While Serbia exported 108 million euro worth of goods to Kosova in first nine months of 2003, Kosova’s exports to Serbia were worth only 3.5 million euro. This is the same relationship that Serbia and Croatia have to Bosnia – the other country “saved” by the “international community” with a similar colonial protectorate. Former Yugoslavia has been replaced by an imperialist-controlled region where the three strongest local bourgeoisie’s – those of Serbia, Croatia and Slovenia – are the same states that once dominated Yugoslavia.